Saturday, October 19, 2013

Black Money - Counter measures

This is a presentation on Black Money I made as part of my MA Economics course.


Black Money
What is Black Money ?  
Black money refers to funds earned on the black market, on which income and other taxes has not been paid.
Income illegally obtained or not declared for tax purposes.


Why its such a big problem?
India has a total GDP of $1 trillion ie $1000 billion
Studies say that nearly 40 to 50% is black.
That is, $400 billion is black.
Lets say we can tax it at the bare minimum 10%.
We will get $40 billion as revenue from tax.
What can we do in $40 billion ie $4000 crore 
Ie. Rs. 2,52,000 crore.
Finance the entire food security bill . Twice!!
Black money is the root cause of terrorism.


How to curb Black Money?
Simplification of tax laws

Minimizing cash transaction and encouraging the use of plastic money. Debit cards and credit cards usage should be encouraged.

Changing currency is the simplest solution to clean black money.

Simplification of tax laws    
Excessive tax rates increase black money and tax evasion.
When tax rates approach 100 per cent, tax revenues approach zero, because higher is the incentive for tax evasion and greater the propensity to generate black money.
The report finds that punitive taxes create an economic environment where economic agents are not left with any incentive to produce.
For eg. We could have something like this:
Increase IT limit to 5 lacs and then maximum of 25% income tax without any surcharge. Remove all tax exemptions provisions except LIC. Housing loan interest should made fully exempted.

Minimizing cash transaction
As per company rules all payment above value of Rs.20000 should be through cheque.
More than 90 percent of population of India does not earn 100 rupees a day; more than 50 % of population does not earn even Rs.20 a day. As such they will not face any problem.
In developed countries like USA, 99 percent of sale and purchase take place through cards or bank cheques and after giving acceptable identity only. In India 90 percent of sale and purchase takes place in cash. 


Change currency
If a country decides to change the currency, it should not give much time for people to convert it to new currency.
Give, may be, just one month time.
Don’t announce the plan of currency change. Plan properly, estimate the currency requirement, print all required currency, decide the date and announce.
Request people to deposit all the currency in banks and withdraw only required amount as new currency.
When they go to bank for depositing currency, everybody needs to give their PAN number or social security number or some way to identify themselves.
Sources 
Times of India : http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/india/Black-money-Indians-have-stashed-over-500bn-in-banks-abroad-says-CBI/articleshow/11871624.cms
Wikipedia : http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Indian_black_money
http://www.complexproblems.in/Black%20money.htm
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-india-17013314
http://www.economist.com/news/finance-and-economics/21573979-banking-scandal-highlights-problem-black-money-india-evasive-action



Notes
Another measure is to demonetise larger denomination rupee notes
Money in circulation had increased by more than Rs.2 lakh crores in just two years from March 2008 to March 2010 as per the Reserve Bank of India's Annual Report.
It should be noted that the US withdrew notes above the denomination of $100 in 1969.


Notes
One historic example of tax avoidance still evident today was the payment of window tax. It was introduced in England and Wales in 1696 with the aim of imposing tax on the relative prosperity of individuals without the controversy of introducing an income tax.[17] The bigger the house, the more windows it was likely to have, and the more tax the occupants would pay. Nevertheless, the tax was unpopular, because it was seen by some as a "tax on light" and led property owners to block up windows to avoid it.
Notes
America’s underground or “shadow economy,” which of course isn’t taxed, represents 8.6% of GDP, by far the smallest of any of the countries on the list. Will McBride of The Tax Foundation says tax morale in the U.S. has probably gotten worse since the survey was completed because taxes have grown more complex.
As of 2013, there are seven tax brackets for ordinary income ranging from 10% to 39.6%